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Tweet 1

@argzax Math for reference: 8/54+4*8/54/53+4*3*8/54/53/52+4*3*2*8/54/53/52/51+4*3*2*1*8/54/53/52/51/50 = 0.16 It's very important that we factor in the probability that we draw 4 running manamorphose before we hit pact/allosaurus.

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Tweet 2

@argzax Oops I forgot to factor in the two cards we bottomed. I actually get: 8/52+4*8/52/51+4*3*8/50/51/52+4*3*2*8/49/50/52/51+4*3*2*1*8/48/49/52/51/50 = 16.66 (repeating of course)

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