Shutting Down Prediction Alerts

Published: 08/17/2022

Subscribe Premium $10/month

Checkout with Stripe

In response to Predictit shutting down I've decided to also shutdown PredictionAlerts. The goal was to make it easy to get price alerts for various prediction markets. I succeeded in the basic goal but never got around to three stretch goals that would have been necessary to make the service actually valuable:

It's sort of a cliche, but I had less time than I expected with a full time job and a baby. And with only one legal US exchange remaining the site makes a little less sense. Kalshi also has two features that make my service less necessary: e-mails on order fills and expiring orders.

I sort of committed the cardinal bootstrapping sin of not selling as I was building so I never really had many users. But even so I learned a lot since I did a lot of things for the first time. Things I used for the first time on this project:

My main take away is it's really easy and cheap to make a fully featured web service but it's a little harder to make one that looks good with actual users. I made it a little harder on myself by doing a couple of things myself where I imagine there were good tools available:

Strategic Mistakes

Technical Mistakes